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Monday, March 25, 2013

A Final Promise: The Cypriot Debt Crisis


Greetings all!


This post comes after a somewhat prolonged break from my writing, due to a combination of technical difficulties and large amounts of school work predating a brief break from school which I have just begun. Because I am guilty of not finding enough time to write and now have extra time, I will be making several posts this week to make up for my absence. Tonight, I address the Cypriot financial crisis going on at this very moment, along with the entire European debt and capitalism crisis. This week’s quote comes from Néstor Kirchner, a former Argentine president and renowned economic hero of said nation.

The current trouble in Cyprus is one that is not new to the EU, but the proposed solution for it certainly was. Cypriot banks, which had assets much larger than the entire Cypriot economy, made some dangerous and risky investments in Greece. When the Greek economy began to tear at the seams, Cypriot banks were found trapped in a mire of financial burden and uncertainty. In order to ensure the liquidity and stability of the Cypriot economy, the government was forced to seek a deal with the troika, composed of the IMF (International Monetary Fund), the EC (European Commission), and the ECB (European Central Bank). Because the Cypriot government could not bail out the banks on its own and it was impeded by slow growth, it was essentially forced to ask for international help. While the former communist president, Demetris Christofias, was less willing to give in, the country recently elected a more negotiable conservative leader, Nicos Anastasiades. You read that right, Cyprus had a communist president. Too bad he came in at the exact wrong moment. For a fuller description of the origins of the crisis, see this.

The original deal proposed by the troika was horrifying, and a close call. At first, a bank levy on all deposits in Cypriot banks was suggested, starting at 6.75% for smaller deposits and up to 10% for larger ones. This was the greatest breach of trust yet in the European debt crisis; governments and organization had promised no bank levies would occur. Citizens were ensured that their savings deposits would not be endangered, no matter what. By making a bank levy on all Cypriots the first option, the hopes of ensuring the safety of each person’s money were broken and shattered. This was reflected by protests across Cyprus. The very notion that this issue has made common Cypriots forget the divide between Turks and Greeks proves how serious this has become. Luckily, this deal was protested feverishly and struck down by the Cypriot parliament.

The new deal is not very much better. Taxes on the average Cypriot will be coupled with privatizations of state holdings. The second largest bank, Laiki Bank, will be closed, and deposits over 100,000 euros will be moved. Deposits under that level are being moved into the biggest bank, the Bank of Cyprus, which has to undergo restructuring. Deposits over that limit will then be used to finance the bailout. And while this does not target as many Cypriots as it does Russian oligarchs (wealthy Russians enjoy investing in Cyprus), it stands as testament that Europeans have been lied to and they are not safe. We now know for certain that the troika does not see citizens as something worth protecting, they just see them as assets to exploit to ensure capitalism doesn't break.

The most important thing we should consider when looking at all this is that this is not a problem for Cyprus alone. It should be clear to just about everyone that austerity doesn't work, in all cases. These economic policies force severe damage to those nations that pursue them, causing a shrinking economy, spiking inequality of wealth and income, and inject structural flaws into systems that cannot handle such problems. However, jam the idea of bank levies into austerity packages and you have a full plan to sabotage any economy. Combined, an austerity-oriented economic model with bank levies would surely speed any afflicted nation towards plutocracy. While all common citizens will have their jobs, their savings, their education, and their healthcare jeopardized, the wealthy will suffer comparatively less and not be prosecuted afterwards. A more dangerous system of capitalism will be left in the wake of these crises, a system even more dependent on the rich and corporations and less willing to fight against them.

We like to point towards Germany as an example of why austerity should work. But while Germany appears safe, the truth is murky. We forget that German austerity did not work as intended, and was modest in comparison to those nations forced to pursue it like Greece, Italy, and Spain. What we should know is that German austerity has not justified itself in terms of economic output, and this is reflected by nervous chattering among the Christian Democratic Party which currently leads Germany and fears losses in coming elections due to austerity failures.

What we must realize is that austerity, while it appears like it should work, does not and is counterintuitive to the best interests of any people. The French people realized this, and attempted to rectify the problem by electing Francois Hollande, an anti-austerity socialist. Instead, governments should focus on preserving the social safety net by stimulating growth of the economy. Because the poor and the middle class are the most vulnerable in crisis, it is the programs which help them which must be protected first and foremost, not the banks, the corporations, or the wealthy. They can handle themselves, and are not in severe danger. We must not fall prey to them.

That is all for tonight, and I hope I have provided sound reasoning behind my argument. If you have comments or questions, please feel free to comment on this site. If you would prefer other methods of contacting me, I can be reached at my email at zerospintop@live.com, my Facebook, Twitter, Google+, Steam, DeviantArt, Tumblr, and Reddit accounts. Good night, and this is KnoFear, signing off. 

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